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The Future of Global Conflict
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The Future of Global Conflict

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July 1999 | 320 pages | SAGE Publications Ltd
This critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems examines such questions as: Will the cycles of boom and bust, peace and war of the past 500 years continue? Or have either long-term trends or recent changes so profoundly altered the structure of world systems that these cycles will end or take on a less destructive form?

The noted international contributors to this volume examine the question of future dominance of the core global systems and include comprehensive discussions of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, Japan and the former Soviet Union.


Christopher Chase-Dunn and Volker Bornschier
Introduction
The Future of Hegemonic Rivalry in Perspective  
 
PART ONE: DIFFERENT PREDICTIONS FOR THE FUTURE
George Modelski
From Leadership to Organization
The Evolution of Global Politics  
Christopher Chase-Dunn and Bruce Podobnik
The Next World War
World-System Cycles and Trends  
Walter L Goldfrank
Beyond Cycles of Hegemony
Economic, Social and Military Factors  
Volker Bornschier
Hegemonic Transition, West European Unification and the Future Structure of the Core
 
PART TWO: POST-WAR SHIFTS IN THE WORLD POLITICAL ECONOMY
Gerd Junne
Global Cooperation or Rival Trade Blocs?
Tieting Su
Clashes of Life Spaces and Other Logics of Hegemonic Rivalry
Albert Bergesen and Roberto Fernandez
Who Has the Most Fortune 500 Firms? A Network Analysis of Global Economic Competition, 1956-89
John Borrego
Twenty-Fifty
The Hegemonic Moment of Global Capitalism  
 
PART THREE: PROSPECTS FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE HEGEMONS
Yasusada Yawata
Japan - A Hegemonic Power? Reflections on Economic Success and Possible Political Futures
Brigitte Schulz
Germany, the United States and Future Intercore Conflict
Erich Weede
Future Hegemonic Rivalry between China and the West?
 
PART FOUR: LOOKING BACK AND AHEAD
Terry Boswell
Hegemony and Bifurcation Points in World History
Volker Bornschier and Christopher Chase-Dunn
Technological Change, Globalization and Hegemonic Rivalry

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